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we are going to give nevada's other republicans here tonight. the incumbent with a three and a half point lead. he just got over the threshold. democrat shelley berkeley. and five are going to be given in ohio to democratic incumbent brown up to ivan f. points and republican challenger jon mandel. now, the open races, we go first to arizona, and we are giving thiso the republicans. real clear politics is not have average, but led the democrats by six in the latest poll. so for our purposes we are giving it. we will give connecticut democrat chris murphy with a four-point lead on the republican. as you can see, it is a difficult science. we will be following the basic, outside the margin medicare. and in indiana, another question mark. real clear politics does not have an average. the democrat is leading the republican in the latest press be simple, but by only three points, and therefore it remains a question mark. north dakota, we are giving it to the republican. over five and a half lead, close enough to call six on the democrat. and then we g
we are going to give nevada's other republicans here tonight. the incumbent with a three and a half point lead. he just got over the threshold. democrat shelley berkeley. and five are going to be given in ohio to democratic incumbent brown up to ivan f. points and republican challenger jon mandel. now, the open races, we go first to arizona, and we are giving thiso the republicans. real clear politics is not have average, but led the democrats by six in the latest poll. so for our purposes we...
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>> yes-- >> ohio, yes, a must-win, if romney didn't win ohio if he takes wisconsin, nevada, iowa, wisconsin new hampshire, a chance he could win pennsylvania and virginia. >> yes. >> uma: that's going to have to be the last word unfortunately we're out of time and appreciate you joining us and always great to see both of you. >> great to see you, too. >> thank you. >> uma: new hampshire, iowa and colorado all in one day. waiting to see from mitt romney in iowa and where we find campaign carl cameron, hi, carl. >> reporter: hi, uma, the theme music for the candidate's entrance has begun and mitt romney takes the podium in dubuque, iowa, a key state before the polls close on the east coast. we'll bring you mitt romney in just a minute. [ male announcer ] hunt...farm... or trail... polaris has what you want. legendary atvs led by the powerful sportsman 850 ho. value-minded side-by-sides featuring the new ranger 800 midsize. and full-size workhorses including the all-new, class-leading, 60-horsepower, ranger xp 900. polaris. hardest working, smoothest riding. get huge rebates on 2012's and low
>> yes-- >> ohio, yes, a must-win, if romney didn't win ohio if he takes wisconsin, nevada, iowa, wisconsin new hampshire, a chance he could win pennsylvania and virginia. >> yes. >> uma: that's going to have to be the last word unfortunately we're out of time and appreciate you joining us and always great to see both of you. >> great to see you, too. >> thank you. >> uma: new hampshire, iowa and colorado all in one day. waiting to see from mitt romney...
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you listed all the important states, florida, colorado, nevada. but here in ohio, this is the biggest, the most important of the battleground states. the president was here yesterday, made three stops making two stops here. we'll return here again. and the message that the president keeps hammering away on here is how he pushed for the auto bailout. why is that so important? because so many jobs in ohio are tied to the auto industry. they believe this is a message that resonates with voters here. so we expect for the president to continue pushing that theme as he makes his remarks here in ohio again this morning. we're told there is an overthrow crowd and the president is making some remarks to them. they will be coming out here to speak later on. >> all right. dan, thanks so much. of course, we'll take that event as soon as the president does finish up with the overflow crowd and then making his way into that arena in mentor, ohio. >>> the president's opponent mitt romney is having a very busy final weekend of his own campaigning before the elect
you listed all the important states, florida, colorado, nevada. but here in ohio, this is the biggest, the most important of the battleground states. the president was here yesterday, made three stops making two stops here. we'll return here again. and the message that the president keeps hammering away on here is how he pushed for the auto bailout. why is that so important? because so many jobs in ohio are tied to the auto industry. they believe this is a message that resonates with voters...
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but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a pollare romney leading first. it's one-third hispic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here'she point i want to make. the polls today reare regarded t microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years o when you were still doing this ow because of your tenacity, and because ofowmy leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls ofwee regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these pos today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precis, why do politicians spend that much money on them? >> they are false idols. they are worshiping the false idol. >> the media are more obsessed with polling than before. they sho
but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a pollare romney leading first. it's one-third hispic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here'she point i want to make. the polls today reare regarded t...
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ohioans have cast more than a million ballots and we're seeing in virginia, nevada and ohio, hundreds of thousands of ballots tasked and obviously in nevada, more than 50% of the electorate has already voted early. experts say that early voting has really changed the face of elections. listen. >> when you have 35 to 40% of the entire electorate voting early, some of them voting in september, much less october, early november, it's going to transform a presidential election. that's what we've seen. every day is now election day. >> with some states continuing early voting really right up to election day, we'll learn which party benefited. however, both president obama and governor romney say that they have the advantage with early voters. so both of them continue to encourage their base to get out and vote early. gregg, back to you. >> gregg: elizabeth, thanks very much. stick with fox news election night. complete coverage beginning here on the fox news channel at 6:00 p.m. tuesday with megyn kelly and bret baier. you can catch shepard smith beginning at 7:00 p.m. on the fox network.
ohioans have cast more than a million ballots and we're seeing in virginia, nevada and ohio, hundreds of thousands of ballots tasked and obviously in nevada, more than 50% of the electorate has already voted early. experts say that early voting has really changed the face of elections. listen. >> when you have 35 to 40% of the entire electorate voting early, some of them voting in september, much less october, early november, it's going to transform a presidential election. that's what...
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in nevada, it is the one group that did not go for nevada in 2008. it is the biggest message on the democratic scale. i will try to see in the last week or so how and home -- whom these talking points are selling at home with. >> be sure to visit the newly revised these bank campaign 2012 website. has the latest events from the president attended its. in our social media section, you can see what the candidates and reporters are saying about the presidential rates -- face at -- race at c-span.org/campaign2012. >> they present that information and let you come to your own conclusions. i frequently to an end to the live sessions of the house and senate. there is important legislation that comes up affect us. >> he watches c-span. c-span, created by america's cable companies in 1979. brought to you as a public service by your television provider. >> now president obama speech at the campaign rally in hilliard, ohio, one of several stops he made in the state. over the weekend, the president will visit an abrupt battleground states including iowa, new ham
in nevada, it is the one group that did not go for nevada in 2008. it is the biggest message on the democratic scale. i will try to see in the last week or so how and home -- whom these talking points are selling at home with. >> be sure to visit the newly revised these bank campaign 2012 website. has the latest events from the president attended its. in our social media section, you can see what the candidates and reporters are saying about the presidential rates -- face at -- race at...
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nevada the ground game, harry reid's political machine, i think obama is going to win, nevada. >> greta: you are from wisconsin, john, and you were just there. >> i was. everywhere you go you meet people who voted for obama the last time and are going to vote for mitt romney this time around. you have a lot of people switching sides over there. the scott walker recall energized republicans and brought independents into the republican party who liked what scott walker was doing. there are couple of problems facing mitt romney. one is that the recall electorate that gave scott walker a 7 point margin of victory supported obama. there is still a problem there of 500,000 voters who came out in 2008 who didn't come out out in the recall. people think those are obama voters and if they come out that could spell bad news. >> greta: bart star now endorsed governor romney and in wisconsin he is a big deal. does is it have any impact? >> he is a big deal. but president obama had charles woodson the other day. if aaron rodgers had been there on the ground probably a 20 point holdout for mitt romne
nevada the ground game, harry reid's political machine, i think obama is going to win, nevada. >> greta: you are from wisconsin, john, and you were just there. >> i was. everywhere you go you meet people who voted for obama the last time and are going to vote for mitt romney this time around. you have a lot of people switching sides over there. the scott walker recall energized republicans and brought independents into the republican party who liked what scott walker was doing....
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ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones. assumptions about turn out are more important than ever. but, yeah, you're right i think the polls have to be wrong at this state level. >> polls ask who are you going to vote for but there's data around polls who do you think will win and that's extraordinarily predictive. why is that qu
ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are...
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like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the break, if you could run the campaign in the last three days, what would you do if you have the reins of the campaign. if you were in charge of the romney campaign, anna, what would you do at this point? >> i think exactly what they are doing. they're having big rallies. showing a great deal of republican unity. they're showing a great deal of momentum. they've got over a hundred of the top republican surrogates out there fanning around the country, going to the swing states. so you've got to get your base out at this point. pretty mu there are very few und
like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the...
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let's head out west fst, nevada. the highest unemployment states of the tossup states, 11.8%. colorado closer to the national average at 8%. ohio, we just told you, 7% there, and in the unemployment been drifting lower. in florida, 8.7%. finally, iowa, my home state, it has one of the lowest jobless rates in the country at 5.2%. there the problem is finding workers. my friend poppy harlow is in des moines this morning. that seems like a good problem to have, finding workers. a 5.2% unemployment rate is enviable. >> reporter: it is. but it's not just about that top line number here. we were at a local small business, they make steel products, and the guy there told me, you know, i'm having a hard time finding the people with the skills to fill my jobs. at the same time, he is enormously concerned about the deficit, about government spending, and about debt. he told me if i ran my business the way the government runs its house, i'd be out of business, and that is what we hear across iowa, city to city, whether they lean right or left, they hate the debt here, and i spoke to this
let's head out west fst, nevada. the highest unemployment states of the tossup states, 11.8%. colorado closer to the national average at 8%. ohio, we just told you, 7% there, and in the unemployment been drifting lower. in florida, 8.7%. finally, iowa, my home state, it has one of the lowest jobless rates in the country at 5.2%. there the problem is finding workers. my friend poppy harlow is in des moines this morning. that seems like a good problem to have, finding workers. a 5.2% unemployment...
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nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. obviously you have seven ca
nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week...
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a woman in nevada facing charges with trying to vote twice. ruben cast her ballot last tuesday in the town of henderson in trying to vote in las vegas again. that is a felony. she is a registered republican and insisting she is innocent. nevada is a key battle ground state with six electorial votes at stake. >> coveted 29 electorial votes. and record turn out that ends today. and reporting wait times bill nelson is asking rick scott to issue an emergency order to extend voting hours through sunday. steve live in a polling station in tampa. and any chances they extend early voting? >> florida's governor will not extend early voting in sunday last people in line 7 o'clock tonight get to vote and there is a few left here in the tampa polling place. lines here one-two hours in the day and some places in miami-dade county, lines at some points in the day between four and five. they have a complicated and long ballot and len constitutional amendments on the ballot and people here being patient and consider their votes here in the key state were impo
a woman in nevada facing charges with trying to vote twice. ruben cast her ballot last tuesday in the town of henderson in trying to vote in las vegas again. that is a felony. she is a registered republican and insisting she is innocent. nevada is a key battle ground state with six electorial votes at stake. >> coveted 29 electorial votes. and record turn out that ends today. and reporting wait times bill nelson is asking rick scott to issue an emergency order to extend voting hours...
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we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996, bob dole. right before the election,
we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have...
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what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is they are at 248. then you look at ohio which i think the early vote numbers are clear indication of of what is going to happen in ohio. that s another 18 electoral votes. and then colorado which is, you know, is in the rcp average just under water, 9/10 of a percent. but that is largely because of a couple of outliar polls that have huge numbers more democrats than republicans. i think we are going to win colorado and that gets you 275. and we are going to pick up out of ohio, new hampshire, nevada or minnesota, pennsylvania or wisconsin we are going to pick
what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is...
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about 73 degrees is expected for nevada. you're full forecast is coming up with a chance of showers. >> a developing story in menlo park. if there are looking for suspects who had a shooting about their area of when mayor ave. all four of the victims were rushed to the hospital and told them have serious injuries. witnesses stated that the two vehicles that led to the area are being described as a black honda and a black actor. >>acura. >> no one has been arrested in connection to this shooting. there is more police patrol in the mission district. this area has seen an increase in violence over the past few months. thest >> since august there have been more the more than 90 arrests made and. there have been for homicides within the past two weeks. the san francisco police chief stated that he does not know how long the extra patrols will be on the street but that they will be on the street until the crime goes down. >> police of looking for is san francisco teenager who has been missing since halloween. this 17 year-old left
about 73 degrees is expected for nevada. you're full forecast is coming up with a chance of showers. >> a developing story in menlo park. if there are looking for suspects who had a shooting about their area of when mayor ave. all four of the victims were rushed to the hospital and told them have serious injuries. witnesses stated that the two vehicles that led to the area are being described as a black honda and a black actor. >>acura. >> no one has been arrested in...
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>> i tell you this, the people in states like texas and nevada are hoping to have the tax increase because every rich person in the state is going to continue to move out. i do not think it's going to pass, i think the people of california is going to turn this down. jerry brown, the governor has been pushing this, saying we're going to have to rip through the schools and the police departments if we don't pass this. i do not think it's going to pass, if it does, paul, i think it could be the end of california as an economic dynamo, truly, the small businesses and the wealth producers of that state will move out if they put in place a 13% income tax. >> you know-- go ahead. >> california should look at what happened here in illinois. in 2011, little noi raised corporate taxes, raised income taxes, guess what? in the next two months, unemployment surged and businesses tried to flee the state. a real mess. >> paul: and choice seems to be if you're going to put any pressure on the politicians in sacramento to reform, a lot of businesses, jerry brown has been-- they've been chipping in, they t
>> i tell you this, the people in states like texas and nevada are hoping to have the tax increase because every rich person in the state is going to continue to move out. i do not think it's going to pass, i think the people of california is going to turn this down. jerry brown, the governor has been pushing this, saying we're going to have to rip through the schools and the police departments if we don't pass this. i do not think it's going to pass, if it does, paul, i think it could be...
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people in ohio here generally think obama has a slight lead also in wisconsin and iowa and nevada. three of those four would give obama the presidency. so the romney campaign knows they're going to have to answer questions about this on the sunday shows tomorrow and on the final days of the race. they circulated a confidential memo to top republican leaders and surrogates. we got our hands on it. this is what they're saying. they're saying they're putting the obama campaign on defense. quote, mitt romney is up or tied with obama in every key battleground state forcing obama on defense in states he won by double digits in 2008 like wisconsin, iowa, michigan, minnesota, and pennsylvania. with the campaigns even on the ground and in early vote, gop enthusiasm is going to carry romney to victory. they're saying energy is on their side and look where obama is campaigning. the reality here is just because the obama campaign is playing defense that still doesn't mean they're going to lose those states. you can play defense and still win. so this is what the romney campaign is talking abou
people in ohio here generally think obama has a slight lead also in wisconsin and iowa and nevada. three of those four would give obama the presidency. so the romney campaign knows they're going to have to answer questions about this on the sunday shows tomorrow and on the final days of the race. they circulated a confidential memo to top republican leaders and surrogates. we got our hands on it. this is what they're saying. they're saying they're putting the obama campaign on defense. quote,...
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. >> reporter: matters how california looks and how nevada and virginia looks. >> right. >> it is difficult for mitt romney to say this economy is in free fall, it is not. unemployment rate here is pretty darn good, 5.2%, the lowest in the country. the president won by ten points here in the last election, my question for you, sue, why isn't he locking it down? >> you know, we actually feel like we're locking it down, we have been locking it down for two years. >> i think she is selling you something, they are not locking it down. >> reporter: we found plenty of people in iowa who are not convinced. >> we can't sustain itself, you hear these big huge empires, countries are going bankrupt. it will be us. >> reporter: he doesn't think he has plans for the deficit. >> i don't think either side has plans for it. it becomes the lesser of two evils. >> reporter: kevin says he can't plan a 2013 budget and certainly can't hire. >> our customers are just slow. they're just not ordering. >> reporter: he says like him, they're frozen, waiting to see who wins the election and whether we fall off the fi
. >> reporter: matters how california looks and how nevada and virginia looks. >> right. >> it is difficult for mitt romney to say this economy is in free fall, it is not. unemployment rate here is pretty darn good, 5.2%, the lowest in the country. the president won by ten points here in the last election, my question for you, sue, why isn't he locking it down? >> you know, we actually feel like we're locking it down, we have been locking it down for two years. >>...
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nevada is 45 to 55% and similar number across the board there. but in colorado, there are two dualing poll there's. one bit public policy of poll gives romney a lead and roiders has it closer within a point. and there are the two states that are clearly too close to call right now. you have florida and ohio. look at that obama is wing by only 2% in florida and ohio they are also just 2% apart. >>> the federal government is buying gasoline to get fuel super storm sandy victims. the obama administration ordered 12 million gallons of unleaded fuel and 10 million gallons of diesel. tanker trucks will take the fuel to gas stations in new york, new jersey and other storm stricken areas. it is a welcome news for the thousands that are trying to leave. >> i'm getting out of the city. the city accident love me. i've been here my whole life. there's nothing. the ocean tore through my house and i lost everything i known 27 years and i'm five years living in the streets. >> gas supply dropped when super storm sandy flooded pipeline equipment. new jersey gove
nevada is 45 to 55% and similar number across the board there. but in colorado, there are two dualing poll there's. one bit public policy of poll gives romney a lead and roiders has it closer within a point. and there are the two states that are clearly too close to call right now. you have florida and ohio. look at that obama is wing by only 2% in florida and ohio they are also just 2% apart. >>> the federal government is buying gasoline to get fuel super storm sandy victims. the...